Monday, October 5, 2015

New York Rangers 2015-2016 Season Preview & Predictions


On Windows, and Such


For the last 4 years or so, the New York Rangers have quite enjoyed their accommodations on the bus that is the National Hockey League- sitting up front in First Class, just behind the yellow line that separates the passengers from the driver's seat and the door out to Paradise. Keeping them cool amid the ups and downs, sharp turns and bumps in the road on their journey has been a window- one thats view has symbolized the hope and belief that the time will come when they will reach their desired destination. In that time they have come close, but for one reason or another they ran out of gas prematurely. 

But now the window that symbolized their belief and opportunity is slowly closing on them.  Henrik Lundqvist, while still extremely handsome, is 33. The salary cap has already squeezed a fan favorite out of town. The core pieces are still in place to hold it open a while longer, but there are younger, hungry passengers (Islanders, Capitals, Blue Jackets) around them, ready to pounce on their open seat because the Blueshirts didn't call Fives.

I don't believe that this is the last gasp for this group. The majority of the group is still in, or just entering, their prime. This is a team that has largely remained entact, and has plenty of experience winning big hockey games.  Still, salary cap restrictions and some up and coming teams around the league will surely make the Rangers' road to the Canyon of Heroes that much more daunting.



Your 2015-2016 New York Rangers

ADDITIONS: RW Emerson Etem, C Oscar Lindberg, LW Viktor Stalberg, C Jarrett Stoll, D Dylan McIlrath, G Antti Raanta

SUBTRACTIONS: RW Martin St. Louis, LW Carl Hagelin,  D Matt Hunwick, C James Sheppard, G Cam Talbot, LW Tanner Glass (Shit.)

Thoughts: Well, I was right last year when I said that the idea of a "crippling roster turnover" was ridiculous.  I stand by the same statement again this year.

- Sure, Marty St. Louis went 21/31/52 last season.  Those are nearly identical numbers to what Brad Richards put up in his last season on Broadway (Beaver put up 20/31/51). Like Brad, MSL's loss will be felt more in the locker room than on the ice. 
- I understand the need to move Hagelin, but it still hurts.
- Just as I said before last season, secondary scoring will be enormous in replacing the production that was let go. Further steps in development taken by Kreider, Miller, Hayes, Fast, and Lindberg will go a long way in determining how NYR does this season. 
- Shout out to Cam "Goalbuster" Talbot for taking the reigns the way he did last season when Hank went down.  Nobody could have anticipated that he'd backbone the Rangers toward a President's Trophy. Well deserving winner of the Steven McDonald Extra Effort Award.


FORWARDS
Lines (when healthy)

Zuccarello-Brassard-Nash
Kreider-Stepan-Hayes
Stalberg-Lindberg-Miller
Fast-Moore-Stoll

Extras- Tanner Glass, Brian Gibbons


Note: The links in my analysis are clickable. Clicking them will take you places. 

#16 Derick Brassard
14/15 stats: (19 G, 41 A)= 60 points
Projected 15-16 stats: (20 G, 38 A) =  58 points

Brass starting things off? That works. Derek took another big step forward last season, notching 60 points for the first time in his career. He accomplished this with consistent efforts each and every game during the year- something he was much maligned for NOT doing during his time in Columbus. Even without his Bash Brother, Zuc, for the majority of the playoffs, Brass still put up a team-leading 16 points in 19 postseason games, highlighted by a hat-trick in game 6 of the East Finals.  The question of who will flank him along with Zuccarello, whether it be Hayes, Miller, or someone else, remains to be seen. Still very much in his prime at 28, the Rangers need another season of clutch goals, winning attitude, and 1C play from #16. 


#96 Emerson Etem
14/15 stats: 45 GP (5 G, 5 A) = 10 points
Projected 15/16 stats: (8 G  10 A) =  18 points

The former first rounder (#29 overall in 2010), was acquired at the draft along with a 2nd round pick for Carl Hagelin. Etem lacks the hockey mind, speed, grinding skills, and flow of #62, and is not expected to step into Hag's role on the ice.  Sather Gorton and Co. are investing in the raw skills of the youngster in the hopes that he can put his skill-set together and become the offensive weapon that he has shown flashes of. (Ok but seriously, click that link and watch that goal. Filthy.) An extremely underwhelming preseason had EE on the cusp of being cut from the roster, and it remains to be seen if he'll be a factor this season- or ever- for NYR. 


#19 Jesper Fast
14/15 stats: 58 GP (6 G 8 A) = 14 points
Projected 15/16 stats:  (10 G, 14 A) = 24 points

After struggling for consistent playing time early last season, Quickie soon became on of AV's most reliable defensive players, seeing the ice regularly to kill off penalties (he had an unbelievable streak without allowing a PPG while on the ice for the majority of the year) and protect leads late in games. An extremely smart, 2-way forward, Jesper's offense also began to kick in as he got more and more confident. He made key plays that led directly to the OT winners in both game 5 (knocks puck out of mid-air, great cross ice pass to Step) and game 7 (his help on the faceoff knocks the puck back to Yandle) against Washington. Jesper will be looked at to step into Hagelin's role this season.


#15 Tanner Glass
14/15 stats: (1 G, 5 A) = 6 points, -12
Projected 15/16 stats:  (0 G, 1 A) = 1 point

He was a -12.  And one time he scored a goal which is so rare that the coach laughed. He is really bad at hockey. My statement is backed by statistics.


#13 Kevin Hayes
14/15 stats: (17 G, 28 A) = 45 points
Projected 15/16 stats: (18 G, 35  A) = 53 points

I very much underestimated Kevin Hayes before last season.  I won't do it again.  Hayes may not be fleet of foot, but his puck skills are way above average, and I'm impressed with how he uses his big frame to protect the puck and maintain possession (very Jagr-like in the use of his ass to box-out defenders). Kevin was among the Rangers top point producers after the all-star break, but seemed to lose a step in the post season.  Brutal on faceoffs (36.3%), and not exactly a defensive stalwart, AV is still trying to decide whether Hayes will be of more use down the middle on the 3rd line, or on the wing in the top-6.  It looks like he will begin the season on the right side with Stepan and Kreider (3 nice American boys), but whether that sticks remains to be seen (I see him as a better fit down the middle, for now). Here's to hoping he can avoid the Sophomore slump and take the next step.


#20 Chris Kreider
14/15 stats: (21 G 25 A) = 46 points
Projected 15/16 stats: (31 G,  30A) =  61 points

Pundits around the league are point to CK as the breakout candidate on this team, and I don't disagree. The question is not whether Kreider has the tools to be a dominating force in this league, but rather if he can hone his talents and use them consistently in order to become a premier power forward.  With a penchant for scoring big goals , the Rangers want to see CK use his rare combination of elite size and speed to wreck havoc on opposing defenses. AV will try to get him to harness some of his recklessness, but they certainly don't want him to lose his edge (see what I did there???). Look for #20 to put it all together this season, hitting 30 goals for the first (and definitely not the last) time. 


#24 Oscar Lindberg
14/15 stats: Hartford (AHL) (28 G, 28 A)= 56 points
Projected 15/16 stats: (11 G, 14 A) =  25 points

My third favorite Oscar (behind him, and him), Lindberg came into training camp knowing that this was a make-or-break opportunity for him within this organization. Had he not earned a spot on the roster, Lindberg would have been subject to waivers upon his demotion, where he almost certainly would have been claimed by another club. Instead, Lindberg was a standout all pre-season long, showing excellent defensive poise along with some unexpected and impressive offensive instincts on his way to winning the Lars-Erik Sjoberg award (as chosen by NYR writers) as the best rookie in training camp. A former Swedish Elite League playoff MVP, and still only 23, Oscar will step into a bottom-6 role on this roster, and will be relied upon to provide some depth scoring. 


#10 JT Miller
14/15 stats: 58 GP (10 G, 13 A) = 23 points
Projected 15/16 stats: (15 G, 18 A) =  33 points

I'm still not completely sure what to make of JT Miller. On some days he looks like he gets it- he's strong on the puck, skates well, and can make some top-notch plays in big moments. Other times he can look disinterested and disengaged, making some egregious turnovers in his own zone, and struggling to get involved in the flow of the game. Often in AV's doghouse, (as opposed to SOME PEOPLE), JT was expected to claim a top-6 role in alongside Stepan and Kreider coming out of training camp.  However, some underwhelming play has miller currently slotted on the wing on the 3rd line instead. Look for JT to reclaim a top-6 role and improve on his all-around game. 


#28 Dominic Moore
14/15 stats: (10 G. 17 A) = 18 points
Projected 15/16 stats: (8 G, 8 A) = 16 points

The unheralded Dominic Moore just keeps doing his thing. He is the kind of 4th liner that championship teams deploy with confidence. A solid penalty killer, good face-off man, and  excellent forechecker, Moore had some rough stretches last year, due in large part to having to overcompensate for #15's miscues at both ends of the rink. Yet, Dom still managed to put up very respectable numbers from the 4C spot. The addition of Jarrett Stoll will take some of the PK and faceoff pressure off of his shoulders, and together (likely with Fast), they should make for a very reliable 4th line. 


#61 Rick Nash
14/15 stats: (42 G, 27 A) = 69 points
Projected 15/16 stats: (35 G, 30 A) = 65 points

To start, can we stop the "Nash doesn't score in the playoffs" narrative?  He had a gritty 14 points in 19 games while consistently matched up with each team's top D pairing. He went hard to the net, was a consistent threat offensively, and continued his stellar play in the defensive zone throughout. His regular season was certainly one to remember, lighting the lamp 42 times, many times in spectacular fashion. He is lethal on the penalty kill, but NYR would like some more production from him with the man advantage. Now 31, but with plenty left in the tank, the Blueshirts can't afford to have Nasher slow down any time soon. He is still the main scoring threat on this roster, and he will be asked to carry the load again this season, as he did for much of last year. A full season alongside Brassard and Zuccarello should help him maintain his scoring prowess. 


#25 Viktor Stalberg
14/15 stats: (2 G 8 A) = 10 points
Projected 15/16 stats: (9 G, 14 A) =  25 points

Stalberg comes to NY after two disappointing and injury-ridden seasons in Nashville.  A 22-goal scorer and Stanley Cup winner in 2011 with the Blackhawks, Stalberg was very impressive in training camp and preseason games in September. He has good wheels, is very solid on the PK, and has some offensive pop. He will fit very nicely into a bottom-6 role at the Garden this season, if he can stay healthy. 


#21 Derek Stepan (A)
14/15 stats: 68 GP, (16 G, 39 A) =  55 points
Projected 15/16 stats: (21g G, 44 A) =  65 points 


I'll just leave this here. Definitely one of the most memorable NYR goals I've seen.

Meanwhile, Derek started last season on the LTIR, but came back to post decent numbers in 68 games played. Still just 25 years old, Step is just at the beginning of his prime years, and should continue to get better. I have always likened his career trajectory to that of Marc Savard (very similar player), and Savard didn't really hit his peak until 27 or 28. Derek thinks the game a few moves ahead of the competition, has great vision, and an underrated shot. The kind of 1st line player who plays in all situations (PP, PK), I expect Stepan to be the catalyst for Kreider's breakout season.

OK, one more time. 


#26 Jarrett Stoll
14/15 stats: (6 G. 11 A) =  17 points
Projected 15/16 stats: (6 G, 12 A) =  18 points 

Keeping with the Rangers' pattern of signing one substance abuse arrestee per offseason (see: Malone, Ryan), the Rangers signed the veteran Stoll to a low-risk one year deal for $800,000. A premier faceoff taker and penalty killer, Stoll has 2 rings on his fingers for his contributions to the LA Kings' recent championships. Best known as "that hockey player who's dating Erin Andrews", Stoll has lost some of the speed and offensive production that made him an above average player in Edmonton, and later LA. Still, he can be counted on to win key faceoffs (a rare area in which NYR struggled last season) and provide some experienced leadership that left with Marty St Louis.


#36 Mats Zuccarello
14/15 stats: (15 G. 34 A) =  49 points
Projected 15/16 stats: (18 G, 39 A) =  57 points

As the Rangers season ended with a punchless 2-0 game 7 loss to the Lightning at Madison Square Garden, one couldn't help but wonder how different the outcome may have been had Mats Zuccarello not been hit in the head with a Ryan McDonagh shot in game 5 of the first round against Pittsburgh. The injury left Frodo in the hospital for three days with a fractured skull, and stories of his inability to regain his speech left the hockey community worrying about the Norwegian's life, let alone his hockey career. Five months later, Zuuuuuuuc was on time for training camp, uninhabited by any concerns or fears about his health. #36 was back to his old, feisty, play-making self in the preseason, and looks primed to continue his offensive wizardry alongside good friend Derick Brassard.


CALL UPS: Brian Gibbons, Adam Tambellini, Marek Hrvik


DEFENSE
Pairings

McDonagh - Girardi
Staal - Boyle
Yandle - Klein

Extras: Dylan McIlrath, Mat Bodie, Brady Skjei

It is rare in this salary-cap era for a team to retain all top-6 defensemen from season to season. The Rangers have managed to do so, keeping one of the league's top units completely intact, with a couple of quality youngsters waiting in the wings.


#22 Dan Boyle
14/15 stats: (9 G. 11 A) =  20 points
Projected 15/16 stats: (6 G, 17 A) = 25 points

Boyle's first season on Broadway was marred from the beginning with a broken hand sustained in game 1 of the season. Upon his return, the veteran was less than stellar, struggling with the puck in all 3 zones, and looking a few steps too slow for the pace of the game. The area in which he was supposed to help most, the Power Play, struggled for consistency for most of the year. In a move that seemed to signify NY's admittance that signing Boyle at the expense of Anton Stralman (oof) was a mistake, Keith Yandle was brought in at the trade deadline, taking Boyle's spot on the first PP unit. Boyle picked up his game in the postseason, however, and chipped in 10 points in 19 playoff contests. AV will monitor the 39-year old's minutes this year, but there's still hope that he has some juice left in those legs.


#5 Dan Girardi (A)
14/15 stats: (6 G. 14 A) =  20 points
Projected 15/16 stats: (7 G,  22) =  29 points

This was my Girardi breakdown from last year's preview. It has not changed. Some hate his contract, but tell me who you're getting for cheaper that plays the hard minutes that G does every night.  Nobody, that's who. Oh, and he played through a Grade 1 MCL sprain in the East Final. The dude is a warrior.

"The Blueshirt Faithful are all over the board when it comes to their faith in Dan Girardi. Some say he makes poor reads and doesn't skate well enough to be a first pairing defenseman. Other people, who are actually watching the games, see the value that a player like G has to a winning team. He's an absolute workhorse, often playing hurt while going up against every team's top players night in and night out.  He is physical and fearless in his own zone, and has a decent offensive skill set (as long as he's not on the Power Play). G is a steady force, allowing a blossoming Ryan Mcdonagh to feel confident enough to take chances and push his boundaries. He is part of this team's core, and will wear an "A" on his jersey this season."


#8 Kevin Klein
14/15 stats: (9 G. 17 A) =  26 points
Projected 15/16 stats: (5 G, 16 A) =  21 points

Before Alex Ovechkin broke his arm with a slapshot, Kevin Klein was enjoying a breakout season at The Garden. He more than doubled his previous career high in goals (9), including 4 game winners, and posted a +26 rating in 65 games. Probably rushed back into the lineup for the Washington series, Klein was not the same upon his return, posting a -1 rating, and not looking like his usual, steady self in his own zone in 14 playoff games. Klein has a reasonable cap it and is locked up for a few more years, making him on of the best 3rd pairing defensemen in the league. Look for Klein's offensive prowess to regress, but he will remain a steady presence on the Rangers' back line. 


#27 Ryan McDonagh (C)
14/15 stats: (8 G. 25 A) =  33 points
Projected 15/16 stats: (14 G, 34 A) =  48 points

A year after appearing on the brink of NHL stardom, Mac Truck took a small step back last season.  The captain missed some time with a shoulder injury, and appeared to take some time getting used to the weight of the "C" sewn into his jersey.  An elite skater and defender who goes up against the opponent's top line every night, McD's offensive production took a hit as he seemed to overthink his play on the ice at times. A player who leads by example (and played 4 games in the playoffs with a fractured foot), #27 will get back on track this year, as the team will be counting on him to provide some scoring from the back line, much like this.


#6 Dylan McIlrath
14/15 stats: (6 G. 11 A) =  15 points
Projected 15/16 stats: (2 G, 10A) =  12 points

We know Dylan McIlrath can fight. The coaching staff knows Dylan McIlrath can fight.  What the brass needed to see was whether Dylan McIlrath can play hockey. Early indications during his brief showing last season were not good. He was slow, indecisive, and had this happen. (By Vlad Tarasenko no less.. the player the Rangers should have selected instead of Dylan in the 2010 draft. OK, in fairness that wasn't really his fault as Michael Kostka AND Tanner Glass were on the ice at the same time... how does that even happen?) Anyway, The Undertaker came into camp with the same "Rangers or Waivers" (I just made that up) situation that Oscar Lindberg faced, and he did not disappoint. Dylan relied on his feet instead of his fists, looking much faster on the ice. He made confident, decisive plays on defense, and even look the pill deep into the O-zone a few times.  He will start the season as the 7th defenseman, but he certainly looks ready for a regular role on the blueline.


#18 Marc Staal (A)
14/15 stats: (5 G. 15 A) =  20 points
Projected 15/16 stats: (7 G, 16 A) =  23 points

Make no mistake, Marc Staal has not been the same player since his gruesome eye injury in March 2013. He plays a bit more timid, gets caught flat-footed a bit more often, and has not rediscovered the potential offensive instincts he had once upon a time. Staal, who was a team worst-8 in the playoffs, played through a fractured ankle, which certainly had a lot to do with his poor showing. Nonetheless, Marc is a steady presence on the 2nd pairing, and the Rangers rewarded him with a 6-year deal worth $5.7 million per. While that is a large figure for a #3D, the Rangers like to view him as more of a #2B. Had Staal departed, there would have been a very large hole to fill in the top-4. Instead, the hope is that the comfort and security of his contract will help Staal rekindle the confidence in his game.


#93 Keith Yandle
14/15 stats: 21 GP (2 G. 9 A) =  11 points. 
Projected 15/16 stats: (10 G, 42 A) =  52 points

Keith Yandle has been a top point-producing defenseman in this league for some time now.  However, in his past 2 seasons he has a combined -49 rating (including a +6 in 21 games with NYR). Reading into that, part of his offensive prowess in Arizona came from a lack of responsibility in his own zone. In his time with the Blueshirts, Yandle will be mostly sheltered on the 3rd pair defensively, and let loose with the man advantage. Yandle is a premium PMD (puck-moving defenseman), who makes a great first pass out of the zone and has the instincts to read a play and join the rush at the appropriate time.  He took some time to adjust to his new surroundings last season, but settled in nicely with 11 points in 19 playoff games playing with a sprained shoulder. A full season with him on the blueline should bode well for NY, and for Yandle- who is in a contract year. (Notice how I made it through that entire post without mentioning Anthony Duclair. SHIT!)

Next: Dylan McIlrath, Mat Bodie, Brady Skjei


GOALTENDING

#32 Antti Raanta
14/15 stats: 14 GP, 7-4-1, 1.89 GAA, .936 SV%, 2 SO
Projected 15/16 stats:  22 GP  12-7-3, 2.71 GAA, .919 SV%, 2 SO

While the Rangers will certainly miss the steadiness and consistency of Cam Talbot, it is unlikely that his replacement, Antti Raanta, will be thrust into the position of importance that Cam was last season. Still, NYR needs a quality backup in order to give The King the rest he needs during the season in order to be in top form come Spring.  Raanta, who has a 20-9-5 career record in two seasons with Chicago, should be a option on the nights Hank is off.


#30 Henrik Lundqvist
14/15 stats: 46 GP, 30-13-3, 2.38 GAA, .921 SV%, 5 SO
Projected 15/16 stats:  60 GP 32-22-6, 2.38 GAA, .922SV%, 5 SO

He is STILL The King. But now, at age 33, the question of Henrik's regression becomes a viable topic.  Is this year or next year the season where the reflexes that he relies upon so much get a little too slow?  Or is he a rare goaltender like Dominic Hasek who can play the game at a top-level into his late 30's?  I believe and hope he's the latter, but this question will be answered sooner rather than later. For now, he remains at the top of his game, and he is more motivated than ever to lift Lord Stanley's Cup.

 CALL UPS: Magnus Hellberg, Mackenzie Skapski


PREDICTION: 44-29-9, 97 points, 2nd in Metropolitan Division, Eastern Conference Finals.


Wednesday, October 8, 2014

2014-2015 New York Rangers Season Preview


There are some pretty damn raunchy, scraggly, dirty, beautifully long beards in this picture. In fact, Madison Square Garden hadn't had the privilege of hosting such grizzly looking characters in some 20 years before this spring/early summer.

What a run it was. An unlikely, emotional, underdog journey that was literally inches/posts away from the ultimate goal. It was a ride that produced countless highlights and memories for Blueshirt fans old and new. Alas, I have not returned to recount the season that was, but rather to look ahead to a new season- one ripe with optimism and the true belief that the New York Rangers are among the NHL's elite, ready to make another run at Lord Stanley's Cup.


Your 2014-2015 New York Rangers

ADDITIONS: LW Anthony Duclair, LW Tanner Glass, C Kevin Hayes, LW Ryan Malone, RW Lee Stempniak, D Dan Boyle, D Matt Hunwick

SUBTRACTIONS: C Brian Boyle, RW Daniel Carcillo,  RW Derek Dorsett, LW Benoit Pouliot, C Brad Richards, D Raphael Diaz, D Justin Falk, D Anton Stralman

Thoughts: Can somebody please explain to me why people are panicking about this roster turnover? 

-Boyle is a solid playoff performer and an ideal 4th liner- a role he believes he is too good for.  Sure he's a team guy, but the fact is that he's replaceable on the ice. 
-Glass is (arguably) an upgrade from Dorsett, and we're talking 4th liners.  
-Pouliot was a journeyman who, after being benched and nearly cut early last season, found his niche and some chemistry with Brassard and Zuccarello. Took the money and ran after a 15 goal season. He will be a huge bust in Edmonton. Anybody can play wing with #16 and #36 and put up numbers.
-Richards was a leader in the locker room, but lost a step  all of his steps and dynamic playmaking ability. He played hard in the playoffs and came up with some timely plays, but his contract was an albatross which left Sather & Co no room for discussion. He will be a nice 2nd line $2mil pickup for Chicago this year.
-I like Anton Stralman. He was beyond solid while paired up with Staal in the playoffs at both even strength and on the PK.. but he's ANTON STRALMAN.  He was the #4 defenseman on this team. Dan Boyle will provide enough D, plus the offensive flare to spark the PP and make you forget all about that guy we picked up on the waiver wire a few years ago.  Not the end of the world, and certainly not a deal breaker for this roster.

Now tell me, is this really the crippling depth that was lost and will result in the Rangers taking a huge step back?

FORWARDS
Lines (when healthy)

Nash-Stepan-St Louis
Zuccarello-Brassard-Kreider
Duclair-Miller-Hagelin
Glass/Fast-Moore-Stempniak

Extras- Kevin Hayes, Ryan Malone, Ryan Haggerty


Note: The links in my analysis are clickable. Clicking them will take you places. 

#16 Derek Brassard
13/14 stats: (18 G, 27A)= 45 points
Projected 14-15 stats: (18 G, 32 A ) =  52 points

Brassard, the 6th overall pick in 2006, has never been able to put all his tools together and become the top-line center he was projected to be. Instead, Brass is what he is- a streaky #2-3 middle man with great vision and solid PP production. He can also Shoot the puck. He clicked perfectly with Zuccarello midway through last season, and the pair are sure to skate together on the "Second" line.  Brass' playoff numbers with NYR are very good (24 P in 35GP), and he will be counted on to provide more offense this season, especially early with Stepan on the LTIR. Look for him to cross the 50 point plateau for the first time this campeign.

#63 Anthony Duclair
13/14 stats: (QMJHL)- 59 GP (50 G, 49 A) = 99 points
Projected 14/15 stats: (10 G  10 A) =  20 points

While nobody arrives at training camp ready to get cut, expectations for the flashy, high scoring forward to make the big club were not very high. While NYR brass hoped to see some flashes of his potential, it was expected that Duclair would skate with the club the first week before being sent back to the Quebec Ramparts of the Quebec Major Junior Hockey League. Had this happened, nobody would have batted an eye, nor would anybody have been particularly disappointed in the youngster. Instead, The Duke (yup, that's happening) scored 3 goals in his first 3 games, displaying a knack for being in the right spot, a pro shot, top-notch wheels, slick mittens, and some tenacity on the back check. He is still very, very raw, and expectations need to be cooled a bit after his hot pre-season showing. The 19 year old is still eligible to be sent back to juniors if he is overwhelmed by NHL competition.

#19 Jesper Fast
13/14 stats: 11 GP (0 G 0 A) = 0 points
Projected 14/15 stats:  (5 G,  4A) = 9 points

"Quickie", as Alain Vigneault refers to him, made the team out of camp last year due to injuries to Ryan Callahan and Carl Hagelin, and played 11 games out of the gate. He looked timid and overmatched, but after spending the majority of the year in Hartford (getting used to North American rinks), Fast got another cup of coffee during the Rangers' playoff run.  This year, the young Swede looks stronger and more aggressive with his play, impressing AV enough that the coach claims to have complete confidence in the kid at both ends of the ice. Look for Jesper to be a smart 2-way presence on the ice during his first season in NY.  The offense will develop in time.

#15 Tanner Glass
13/14 stats: (4 G, 9 A) = 13 points
Projected 14/15 stats:  ( 4G, 6A) = 10 points

Glen Sather's signing of Tanner Glass was much maligned before the ink was dry on July 1st due in large part to Glass' poor advanced statistics (league worst puck-possession numbers), and the $1.3mil price tag. While I can't argue with complaints about the terms of the deal, Glass has been a pleasant surprise in Blue this preseason. He skates pretty well, plays the body, kills penalties, and swings his knuckles better than Dorsett did.  If he can keep that up I have no problem with him on the 4th line -especially against NJD and Philly. 

#62 Carl Hagelin
13/14 stats: (17 G, 16 A) = 33 points
Projected 14/15 stats: (15 G, 20 A) =  35 points

Shaggy Haggy has some cool jets and just about the crispest lettuce you'll find under a bucket in the National Hockey League.  Hags has solidified himself as a threat on the PK, and he uses that blazing speed to keep defenses wary in all 3 zones. A top notch puck retriever, Carl will start the season with Zuccarello and Brassard, though I'm not convinced that's the spot he'll stick in. He gets some unfair flack for not having the best hands, but he more than makes up for it with his effort and his hockey sense. An ideal 3rd line forward on a winning squad.

#13 Kevin Hayes
13/14 stats: (H-East) 40 GP (27 G, 38 A) =65 points
Projected 14/15 stats: (2 G,  3 A) = 5 points

One of cawlidge hawkey's premier point producers while playing on a line with Calder hopeful Johnny Gaudreau at BC, Hayes chose to come to the Rangers this offseason after being unable to reach an agreement with the Blackhawks. A former 1st round pick, the 6'3 forward made the team due in large part to the roster's holes down the middle with Stepan out of the lineup. While I thought his foot speed was a concern during the pre-season, Hayes is patient and strong on the puck, and has above-average distributing skills.  A former teammate of Chris Kreider, Hayes may spend more time in Hartford this season, but getting his feet wet certainly won't hurt.

#20 Chris Kreider
13/14 stats: (17 G 20 A) = 37 points
Projected 14/15 stats: (25 G,  24A) =  49 points

Breakaway Pipehitter/Destructor of Goaltenders, Kreider is a game-breaker.  He has the speed, strength, shot, and skill to put up big-time numbers and be a star in this league.. whether or not he can put it all together on a consistent basis very much remains to be seen.  Not afraid to go hard on the forecheck or into the crease (clearly), CK will start the season with Nash and MSL, at least until Stepan returns. I feel Kreids' game may blossom best playing along side Brassard and Zuccarello with his feet moving and his stick on the ice. If everything clicks for the 23 year old, he could be in for a breakout year.

#24 Ryan Malone
13/14 stats: 57GP (5 G, 10 A)= 15 points
Projected 14/15 stats: (4 G, 4 A) =  8 points

Malone was singed to a 2-way, low risk/high reward deal this offseason after some off the ice (on the snow) troubles threatened to derail the big-man's playing days. At 6'4 220, Malone is an imposing force down low and, particularly, in front of the net on the power play.  Slated as an extra forward right now, Malone may get his shot if the NYR PP starts the year slowly. Though unable to stay healthy through training camp, Ryan could play dividends against some bigger teams on the schedule.

#10 JT Miller
13/14 stats: 30GP (3 G, 3 A) = 6 points
Projected 14/15 stats: (10 G,  15A) =  25 points

Last year: Doesn't show up for informal skates before training camp, in and out of lineup, AV decrees JT will be either a very good pro or a very good minor leaguer. 
This year: Shows up early for informal skates before training camp, slotted into 3rd line center spot, skates well and shows maturity in play in preseason.
Given the Rangers lack of depth down the middle this season, JT is being counted on for some rapid growth both on and off the ice.  There's no question that the kid has the attributes to be a solid contributor, but is he ready, willing and able to take the next step? Early indications are positive.

#28 Dominic Moore
13/14 stats: (6 G. 12 A) = 18 points
Projected 14/15 stats: (7 G, 11 A) = 18 points

What a year it was for Dominic Moore. After a year away from hockey following the death of his wife, Moore had a rough start to last season, nearly being sent down in the early goings. Yet again Moore persevered and wound up playing a pivotal role for the Blueshirts down the stretch and throughout their run to the final. When called upon to play a top-6 role, he notched assists. When asked to kill penalties and check opposing forwards, he would grind it out. And when his team only needed one shot to win the Eastern Conference, he provided. Great story? FUHGEDDABOOTIT 

#61 Rick Nash
13/14 stats: 65GP (26 G, 13 A) = 39 points
Projected 14/15 stats: (33 G, 27 A) = 60 points

Rick Nash gets a lot of shit for his play as a Ranger thus far.  He was acquired (at a hefty price tag) to provide New York with the consistent scoring threat they were missing at (despite having Marian Gaborik).  4 goals in 37 preseason games, (despite heavy shot totals that imply some poor puck-luck) it just... not OK.  Other than a 10 goals in 10 games span in December-January, #61 never found his groove after an early season concussion caused him to miss 17 games (though he still led the team with 26 markers). For the most part, the hulking forward found himself on the periphery in the offensive zone, which is far from his strength in this game. This lack of nose-for-the-net led to AV limiting Nash's PP time, which I think is a mistake. Look for Nash, who arrived at camp healthy, slimmed down, and under the radar for some reason, to have a bounce back season playing alongside a now-comfortable Martin St Louis. Nash is only 30 and still has some big time skill left to play with. Since 2012, no player has more even strength goals/60 minutes than Rick Nash. 

#26 Martin St. Louis (A)
13/14 stats: (30 G 39 A) = 69 points
Projected 14/15 stats: (23 G, 38 A) =  61 points

The ups, downs, and emotions of Marty's playoff run this spring made a lot of people forget about the unexpectedly dismal start to his Blueshirt career. MSL notched lit the lamp only once and notched only 8 points in 15 regular season games down the stretch. He followed that up with an 8 goal, 15 point postseason performance that included some storybook moments, and incredible game winners. Given one of four A's by Vignault, look for St. Louis to be much more comfortable from the get-go this season. At 39 age is obviously a concern, but he is one season removed from the Art Ross trophy, and remains one of the best playmakers in the game.  If he and Nash can find the right chemistry they could prove to be one of the league's most dynamic duos. 

#12 Lee Stempniak
13/14 stats: (12 G. 22 A) =  34 points
Projected 14/15 stats: (9 G, 16 A) =  25 points

When Pittsburgh acquired Stemp at the trade deadline last season, they thought they were getting a smart player with unrealized offensive potential who would thrive playing alongside Crosby or Malkin. Instead, they got 6 goals in 34 total matches.. which is hard to pull off while playing with those two superstars.  On Broadway, Lee will be asked to play a smart, safe game on both sides of the puck, while logging a grinder's minutes for a coach who likes to roll 4 lines.  If he can find the touch that saw him score 14-19 goals a season for most of his career, he'll provide excellent depth and prove to be a steal at $900K.

#21 Derek Stepan (A)
13/14 stats: (17 G. 40 A) =  57 points
Projected 14/15 stats: (15g G, 42 A) =  57 points (starting season on LTIR)

When people talk about the depth that the Rangers supposedly lost, they don't take into account the fact that other Blueshirts are another year older, wiser, and entering the prime of their careers. Exhibit A: Derek Stepan. Though this will be Step's 5th year in the league, he still only just turned 24 in June.   He is undoubtedly the team's top center, and will likely continue to increase his point production for the next few years. I liken Derek's career trajectory to that of Marc Savard, and that is a high compliment. He will start the year on the Long Term Injured Reserve due to a broken leg, which means he will miss at least the first 10 games on the schedule. Expect some rust when he returns, but having #21 in the lineup will be an enormous boost to the team's depth and on-ice performance.

#36 Mats Zuccarello
13/14 stats: (19 G. 40 A) =  59 points
Projected 14/15 stats: (18 G,  38A) =  56 points

Before Mats Zuccarello came to play at the World's Most Famous Arena, he was the league MVP of the 3rd best league in the world. When he arrived in New York, he was seen as a novelty-type item. A  small, offensively gifted player who wouldn't be able to handle the rigorous grind of NHL play... especially in John Tortorella's defensive minded system. Used sparingly by Torts, Frodo has been unleashed to use his wizardry (see what I did there?) with AV calling the shots- even leading the team in points last season. Another player just entering his prime, the 5'7 Norwegian plays a fearless game, often getting chippy with cave trolls (CHARA) who tower over him. Zuuuuc is an offensive weapon that provides the Rangers' depth lines with true firepower. 

CALL UPS: Ryan Haggerty, Chris Mueller


DEFENSE
Pairings

Mcdonagh - Girardi
Staal - Boyle
Klein - Moore

Extras: Matt Hunwick, Connor Allen, Dylan McIlrath

#22 Dan Boyle
13/14 stats: (12 G. 24 A) =  36 points
Projected 14/15 stats: (10 G, 29 A) = 39 points

Make no mistake, at 38 Dan Boyle is no spring chicken. Many of the Blueshirt Faithful were far from pleased when Glen Sather decided to let the younger, increasingly steady Anton Stralman walk in favor of the gray-bearded former Lightning and Shark. But Boyle plugs a major hole for a that came 3 wins away from having their names chiseled into silver. The NYR PP was notoriously inconsistent last year despite finishing 10th overall in efficiency, and a few timely goals with the man advantage may have tilted the scales toward Broadway.  Though a step slower with age, Boyle is still an elite puck-moving defenseman who makes a great first pass out of his own zone, and is a a whiz quarterbacking from the blue line. Playing with Marc Staal will cover up any of #22's (whoops) defensive deficiencies, as it likely covered up Stralman's. 

#5 Dan Girardi (A)
13/14 stats: (5 G. 19 A) =  24 points
Projected 14/15 stats: (7 G,  22) =  29 points

The Blueshirt Faithful are all over the board when it comes to their faith in Dan Girardi. Some say he makes poor reads and doesn't skate well enough to be a first pairing defenseman. Other people, who are actually watching the games, see the value that a player like G has to a winning team. He's an absolute workhorse, often playing hurt while going up against every team's top players night in and night out.  He is physical and fearless in his own zone, and has a decent offensive skill set (as long as he's not on the Power Play). G is a steady force, allowing a blossoming Ryan Mcdonagh to feel confident enough to take chances and push his boundaries. He is part of this team's core, and will wear an "A" on his jersey this season.

#8 Kevin Klein
13/14 stats: (1 G. 5 A) =  6 points
Projected 14/15 stats: (2 G,  6 A) =  8 points

Acquired early last season for Michael Del Zaster, Klein was a quiet, dependable force on the third pairing, who had the ability to play top 4 minutes if necessary. Limited offensively, Klein isn't afraid to be physical, and plays important minutes when AV decides to shorten his bench. Still signed for a couple of years at a reasonable price, Klein plays a simple, efficient game, and makes the Ranger's 3rd pair as solid as they come. 

#27 Ryan McDonagh (C)
13/14 stats: (14 G. 29 A) =  43 points
Projected 14/15 stats: (16 G, 35 A) =  51 points

Have we only just begun to scrape the surface of Ryan McDonagh's skill set? Already a top notch shutdown blue liner, McDonagh showed his offensive potential last season, notching 43 points and getting increased ice-time with the man advantage. Honored as the 27th captain in NYR history (and 5th youngest), McDonagh's all-around game has him being mentioned alongside Keith, Weber, Karlsson, Subban and rest of the league's elite defensemen. Mac-Truck is definitely a potential Norris Trophy Candidate.  And the Rangers acquired him (and other junk) for Scott Gomez (and other junk). Just reminding you.

#17 John Moore
13/14 stats: (4 G. 11 A) =  15 points
Projected 14/15 stats: (5 G,  14A) =  19 points

I'm not really sure what to make of John Moore. One day he looks like he gets it, and uses his speed to jump up into the play while making sound, safe defensive plays. The next day his is running around like a headless chicken, taking himself out of the play going for ill-advised body checks. What I do know is that he's still only 23, and sometimes young defensemen take a little longer to develop. He is certainly steady enough for the 3rd pairing, and he may also have some more offensive potential than he's shown so far. 

#18 Marc Staal (A)
13/14 stats: (3 G. 11 A) =  14 points
Projected 14/15 stats: (5 G, 16 A) =  21 points

Going into a contract year, Staal will need to put together a consistent and healthy season in order to cash in on his impending free agency. The 2nd oldest Staal was on his way to becoming one of the NHL's best blue liners before a rash of gruesome (ew.) injuries caused a hiccup in his development. Also in the midst of his prime at 27, Marc has regained most of his defensive prowess (though he still gets beat more often than he used to), but his offensive game has gone by the wayside. Can he rediscover that part of his game? Will the Rangers re-sign him and keep their young defensive corps intact, or will they use him as trade bait come March? We'll see.

Next: Matt Hunwick, Conner Allen, Dylan McIlrath (Ugh.)

GOALTENDING

#33 Cam Talbot
13/14 stats: 19 GP, 12-6-1, 1.64 GAA, .941 SV%, 3 SO
Projected 13/14 stats:  20 GP  11-6-3, 2.71 GAA, .909 SV%, 2 SO

Cam Talbot may have been the biggest and best surprise for the New York Rangers last year.  When Henrik Lundqvist started the season slow due to contract disputes, long road-trips, or whatever you want to attribute it to, Talbot was there, winning 6 of his 7 starts in October-November. The Goalbuster's stellar play between the pipes kept the Rangers from falling out of playoff contention early last season. If he can provide the Rangers with 20 quality starts this season, Henrik should be fresh for a deep playoff run.

#30 Henrik Lundqvist
13/14 stats: 63 GP, 33-24-5, 2.36 GAA, .920 SV%, 5 SO
Projected 13/14 stats:  62 GP 35-23-4, 2.29 GAA, .928SV%, 6 SO

He is The King. He is the best goaltender in the world. He is hungry for the one honor that has eluded him in his hockey career, and he still has the skill set to carry his team there. With Henrik Lundqvist in the blue paint, the Rangers have a chance to win any game against any team on any night. And he does it all while being devastatingly handsome. 

 CALL UPS: Cedrick Desjardins


Expectations for the 2014-15 New York Rangers are as high now as they've been since Mark Messier arrived in 1991.  They have a solid, skilled core that is in the midst of its prime, and they have supported these players with championship quality veterans, an infusion of fast, exciting youth, and an open-minded coach with an effective gameplan . Having the best goaltender in the world between the pipes doesn't hurt either. While there are still some holes and unanswered questions, this is a roster built not just to be competitive, but to challenge for the Stanley Cup.  

Be sure to stop by for various ranting and game recaps over the course of what is sure to be a dynamic, stressful, and fun season of New York Rangers hockey.


PREDICTION: 46-29-7, 99 points, 1st in Metropolitan Division, Eastern Conference Finals.



-Rif